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Opinion

A ‘Santa Claus Rally’ for the Stock Market?

Since 1969, 34 out of 45 years have seen a late December rally. Here are 5 reasons why that might not happen this year.

By Nathaniel Whittemore
AccessTimeIconDec 4, 2020 at 8:00 p.m. UTC
Updated Sep 14, 2021 at 10:38 a.m. UTC
AccessTimeIconDec 4, 2020 at 8:00 p.m. UTCUpdated Sep 14, 2021 at 10:38 a.m. UTC
Breakdown 12.4 - Santa Claus Rally
AccessTimeIconDec 4, 2020 at 8:00 p.m. UTCUpdated Sep 14, 2021 at 10:38 a.m. UTC

Since 1969, 34 out of 45 years have seen a late December rally. Here are 5 reasons why a Santa Claus rally might not happen this year.

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This episode is sponsored by Crypto.com, Nexo.io and this week's special product launch, Allnodes.

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Today on the Brief:

  • Payrolls report underperforms expectations
  • Spotify looking for crypto director
  • Lame-duck crypto legislation on the way? 

Our main discussion: Will we see a “Santa Claus rally” this year? 

This kind of rally refers to the fact that in about two-thirds of years since 1969, late December has seen a stock market rally, averaging a 1.4% gain. 

This year, vaccine optimism combined with new stimulus seems poised to once again jingle Wall Street’s bells. A piece in Bloomberg, however, provides five charts and reasons why this market rally is already overbought and overblown, so this year might be more coal than eggnog.

See also: Josh Brown on Bitcoin’s ‘Respectability Rally’ and Why We’ll See Dow 100,000 in Our Lifetime

For more episodes and free early access before our regular 3 p.m. Eastern time releases, subscribe with Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Pocketcasts, Google Podcasts, Castbox, Stitcher, RadioPublica, iHeartRadio or RSS.

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