prediction markets

CDCROP: CFTC logo
CFTC Staff Recommends Rejecting Kalshi's US Election Contracts: Bloomberg
Commissioners would still need to vote on the advice.
CDCROP: CFTC logo

CDCROP: Kalshi countdown to election markets (kalshi.com)
Prediction Market Kalshi Signals It Sees CFTC's Blessing for Midterm Election Bets
A countdown clock on its website ends today, indicating the service is optimistic regulators will let it offer contracts for the Nov. 8 election.
CDCROP: Kalshi countdown to election markets (kalshi.com)

U.S. Capitol building, Washington, D.C (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)
Crypto Predictions Site Polymarket Foresees Republicans Winning Both Senate and House
The site is giving an overall 64% chance to Republicans for taking control of Congress.
U.S. Capitol building, Washington, D.C (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Russian President Vladimir Putin (DimitroSevastopol/Pixabay)
Crypto Predictions Site Polymarket Taking Bets on Whether Russia Will Use a Nuclear Weapon by 2023
Traders on Polymarket, which is not available to U.S. users, are putting a 6% probability of Russia doing so.
Russian President Vladimir Putin (DimitroSevastopol/Pixabay)

PredictIt political betting site
Election Betting Site PredictIt Sues to Block CFTC-Ordered Shutdown
The CFTC’s August action calls for the site to be closed for U.S. users by February 15.
PredictIt political betting site

PredictIt political betting site
Popular Election-Betting Site PredictIt Throttled by US Regulator
The site where people can wager on the outcome of political battles has until February to close its U.S. operations, said the CFTC.
PredictIt political betting site

CDCROP: Three men in a betting shop (Image Source/Getty Images, Modified by CoinDesk)
Is Crypto Sports Betting Ready for the Big Leagues?
Sports bettors eagerly await a blockchain-powered sports betting service with audited smart contracts, user-friendly policies, low commissions and fees – and meaningful volume.
CDCROP: Three men in a betting shop (Image Source/Getty Images, Modified by CoinDesk)

Andrew Eaddy and Clay Graubard, founders of Baserate.io, are at Consensus 2022 in Austin, Texas (CoinDesk)et... The New(s) Source of Truth, Consensus 2022 by CoinDesk, Austin Convention Center, Austin, Texas, USA - 11 Jun 2022
Wanna Bet? Crypto Prediction Markets Could Be a New ‘Source of Truth’
Andrew Eaddy and Clay Graubard made the case for empowering individuals through technology as trust in institutions declines.
Andrew Eaddy and Clay Graubard, founders of Baserate.io, are at Consensus 2022 in Austin, Texas (CoinDesk)et... The New(s) Source of Truth, Consensus 2022 by CoinDesk, Austin Convention Center, Austin, Texas, USA - 11 Jun 2022

Television Host Johnny Carson as "Carnac the Magnificent"
Forecasting, Prediction Markets and the Age of Better Information
Quantified forecasting is an invaluable and yet underused tool, and prediction markets appear a vital tool for its adoption.
Television Host Johnny Carson as "Carnac the Magnificent"

(Getty Images/Tetra Images RF)
Polymarket Introduces New Information Markets After CFTC Fine, but Not for US Traders
The decentralized predictions marketplace received a $1.4 million fine from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
(Getty Images/Tetra Images RF)